

Several macro dangers loom over the near term (e.g.Democrats may not fall in love with him, but they are largely falling in line to avoid a messy primary. Biden's approval rating is at a similar point as President Reagan and Obama at respective points in their first terms. Presidential approval ratings can improve.Biden's approval rating right now is in the low 40s. Bush had the lowest approval rating – 48 percent – for a winning incumbent. Dating back to President Truman, President George W. Biden's approval rating is below the threshold for recent incumbent victors.Of the presidents who have run for re-election, 21 have won while 10 have lost. Presidents have an incumbent advantage.On the four-year anniversary of the launch of his 2020 campaign, President Biden last Tuesday released a campaign video launching his final campaign for president. The Supreme Court has concluded oral arguments for its current term, which means that more decisions will be coming soon, including in high-profile cases on environmental regulation, online speech, redistricting, and social issues.īiden's Running.

But there’s still a lot of time left and there are still paths to victory for other candidates to exploit. This year has seen former President Trump expand his lead over the rest of the field in the GOP presidential primary. Biden's MO is to prove the naysayers wrong while pointing out he's the least worst option. President Biden launched his fourth and final campaign for president last week, this time as an incumbent.
